The US journal Foreign Policy recently predicted several
World events in 2012, including political unrest in China.
Echoing these predictions, The Japan Times said that the
Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is facing similar challenges as those in 1989.
Critics believe upheavals may happen any time in 2012
in China, possibly triggered by real estate and land ownership issues.
The US journal Foreign Policy wrote in an article named
“Next Year, in Review”
about the outspoken criticism of the Chinese regime,
on issues from train wrecks to smog.
With more overt campaigns between factions in the Chinese
regime, and the spread of social media,
China's new leaders should expect to have a more fractious
constituency and a tougher time maintaining central control of the world's emerging superpower.
The Japan Times also wrote that the current crisis faced by
CCP leaders is similar to that of 1989,
such as freedom of press, corruption and nepotism,
and the legality of CCP.
Meanwhile, the CCP is also facing environmental issues,
as well as social security and medical problems, which were not involved in 1989.
The conflict between Chinese people's press for human rights
and the CCP's power is escalating.
A certificated public accountant in Beijing,
Du Yanlin, said that
he is thinking about the possible changes in China in 2012,
but reflects that things in China are hard to predict.
Du Yanlin said: “What we face is a dictatorial power,
which has many uncertain factors.
It might keep growing like the real estate market,
but collapse suddenly.
But I hope future changes can bring less loss and
less social unrest.”
A sociologist residing in Germany, Dr Wang Rongfen,
believed that the conflict between people and the government,
is reflected in the seesaw battle between the CCP's
firewall project and netizens' breaking blockades.
The CCP interest groups' land grabbing will finally trigger
people's revolt.
Wang Rongfen said: “In China, land is owned by the country,
which is owned by CCP, while CCP is controlled by only several persons.
It is very unreasonable, but involves everyone's vital interests.
If you buy a house with the right of use for only 70 years
or 40/50 years, then where are you going after that?
China's future unrest will start from real estate,
which involves a basic ownership issue.”
Media around the world have noticed the recent mass protest
against Putin in 60 cities in Russia, a once communist country, with around 30,000 protesters in Moscow.
But the World Journal believed that considering the
current democratic system,
another Tiananmen Incident will not happen in Russia,
nor will Putin become a second Deng Xiaoping.
Du Yanlin pointed out that China and Russia are different
since one is totalitarian while the other is authoritarian.
Despite the personal authority, the Russian system is still democratic,
and Putin cannot decide everything in a large scale.
Putin will not dare to dispatch tanks on Moscow streets.
But the CCP is totalitarian and thus will dare do anything.
The Dongfang Daily highlighted the old Chinese saying;
“people are like water, which can float boats, but can also make them sink.”
Once the huge wave comes, which vessel can hold it?
Trying to maintain stability is just useless.
The “Jasmine Revolution”, which happened in China at the
beginning of this year was a rehearsal for the real play.
The only question is who, and where, will the fire next year be lit,
and what will China's future be after the unrest?
九月十七日在美国纽约开始的「占领华尔街」社会运动，一个月来已扩展到八十二个国家、九百五十一个城市。Occupy Wall Street 已演变成Occupy Together，被称为「现在世界上最重要的事」（Naomi Klein：The Most Important Thing in the World Now）！
美国宪法的头三个字是「We the People」，「我们人民」！政府的权力是人民授予的，人民才是国家的主人！今天美国人民发现，他们授权的政府权力已经「异化」，不再把百分之九十九的人民当国家主人，「We the People 」异化为「We the Wall Street」，华尔街成了国家主人，华尔街主导政府的财经、环保和外交政策。
美国《外交政策》杂志12月12日在一篇回顾与展望性质的报导《Next Year, in Review》中，预测并列举了2012年将主导该杂志报导方向的13个最重要的可能发生的故事。依据这项预测，明年在全球政治方面，独裁政体将纷纷陷入垮台，难以为继，中国真正的政治动荡即将开始；经济上，全球经济陷入衰退，但美国和日本将会胜出。
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